If you’ve read a few of my pieces - and for that I am truly grateful, for your time and consideration - you may have noticed I continually emphasize the whole context of covid - the big picture.
Two things. First, love your style and you content! I will not assume that you have been reading my mind, because frankly, it feels so good. Second, without going into my whole explanation, I understand how otherwise intelligent-seeming people can succumb to Pfizercosis. The answer rests in the same process that undergirds the success of another phenomenon: Late. Night. Infomercials.
Yes, Fenton et al. are doing excellent work. Only wish more people were reading it.
(A big part of my frustration is that people I personally know with decent levels of education, who should be able to parse this work, if only they would read it, won't even give it a glance, as they already know it's "conspiracy claptrap" or "anti-vaccine hysteria." Well, fuck 'em, I guess.)
I was also very intrigued by some of the data Alex Berenson and others pointed to coming out of the UK.
When I checked, I found no discirnible peaks in all-cause death within those age-groupings to be seen in those weeks you highlight. Total all-cause deaths for all age-groups peaked in 3rd week January and then fell rapidly until April.
Their analysis highlights peaks in all-cause mortality rates (not totals) in the unvaccinated (which as a population group shrank while the vaccinated population grew) during the vaccination roll out.
I'm not sure anymore that it's a meaningful interpretation of the data and it seems possible that these were normal deaths concentrated within the unvaccinated population through selection bias because those seriously ill did not receive a 1st or scheduled 2nd dose.
Wouldn't you expect there at least to be a signal in the all-cause death for those age groups?
As far as I know this isn't a HART group publication. But I do know some of the people involved and they are very good. I have the govt spreadsheet upon which this analysis is based - but haven't done my own analysis of this data. I have no reason to doubt the data analysis that Prof Fenton et al present.
I have done my own analyses of the ONS data and there have certainly been worrying trends to be seen in percentage excess all-cause mortality.
The rates are the correct thing to look at here - doesn't matter if one population shrinks relative to another because you're comparing a per 100,000 (or whatever) figure.
It's nothing to do with covid death - and that's clearly obvious (what would be the reason for a peak in covid death during week 12 in which the impact of covid had already mostly declined to a very low level? amongst other things)
The key is in the timing - and those bumps simply cannot be attributed to covid.
Two things. First, love your style and you content! I will not assume that you have been reading my mind, because frankly, it feels so good. Second, without going into my whole explanation, I understand how otherwise intelligent-seeming people can succumb to Pfizercosis. The answer rests in the same process that undergirds the success of another phenomenon: Late. Night. Infomercials.
Cheers Wilt - very much appreciated
There are a whole lot of people waking up to this charade now - they've been sold a shiny bauble only to find it was made of fool's gold
Scott Adams has gone off the damn rails
Yes, Fenton et al. are doing excellent work. Only wish more people were reading it.
(A big part of my frustration is that people I personally know with decent levels of education, who should be able to parse this work, if only they would read it, won't even give it a glance, as they already know it's "conspiracy claptrap" or "anti-vaccine hysteria." Well, fuck 'em, I guess.)
Are you sure the HART Group paper is good??
I was also very intrigued by some of the data Alex Berenson and others pointed to coming out of the UK.
When I checked, I found no discirnible peaks in all-cause death within those age-groupings to be seen in those weeks you highlight. Total all-cause deaths for all age-groups peaked in 3rd week January and then fell rapidly until April.
Their analysis highlights peaks in all-cause mortality rates (not totals) in the unvaccinated (which as a population group shrank while the vaccinated population grew) during the vaccination roll out.
I'm not sure anymore that it's a meaningful interpretation of the data and it seems possible that these were normal deaths concentrated within the unvaccinated population through selection bias because those seriously ill did not receive a 1st or scheduled 2nd dose.
Wouldn't you expect there at least to be a signal in the all-cause death for those age groups?
As far as I know this isn't a HART group publication. But I do know some of the people involved and they are very good. I have the govt spreadsheet upon which this analysis is based - but haven't done my own analysis of this data. I have no reason to doubt the data analysis that Prof Fenton et al present.
I have done my own analyses of the ONS data and there have certainly been worrying trends to be seen in percentage excess all-cause mortality.
The rates are the correct thing to look at here - doesn't matter if one population shrinks relative to another because you're comparing a per 100,000 (or whatever) figure.
It's nothing to do with covid death - and that's clearly obvious (what would be the reason for a peak in covid death during week 12 in which the impact of covid had already mostly declined to a very low level? amongst other things)
The key is in the timing - and those bumps simply cannot be attributed to covid.